A representative survey finds that 92% of students who completed weekly practice quizzes passed. Lina completed every weekly quiz. Which conclusion is best supported?
Answer
Lina will probably pass, though passing is not guaranteed.
Explanation
### Why this is right
The survey provides relevant statistical evidence from a large, representative group, and Lina fits the group described. That makes passing probable, not certain, which is the characteristic support offered by a strong inductive argument.
### The concept
An **inductive argument** uses evidence to make a conclusion likely rather than logically unavoidable. Its strength depends on the quality and relevance of the evidence. A representative survey is more useful than a handful of selected examples because it better reflects the group being discussed. Even a strong inductive conclusion can turn out false; probability is not a guarantee.
### The other options
- **B. Lina must pass because the argument is deductively valid.** The survey leaves a chance of failure, so the inference is not a deductive guarantee.
- **C. Every student who completes quizzes will pass.** This turns a statistical pattern into an absolute claim.
- **D. The survey proves quiz completion causes passing.** A reported association does not by itself establish causation.
### Terms
- **Inductive argument**: Reasoning that makes a conclusion probable rather than certain.
- **Representative**: Reflecting the broader group being studied.
- **Deductively valid**: Having a form in which true premises guarantee the conclusion.
### Remember
Strong statistical evidence supports “probably,” not “must.”
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